Financial Volatility, Macroprudential Regulation and Economic Growth in Low-Income Countries

October 18, 2017, Paris

Conference organised by the Center for Growth and Business Cycle Research (University of Manchester), the Foundation for Studies and Research on International Development (FERDI) and the OCP Policy Center

Financial Volatility, Macroprudential Regulation and Economic Growth in Low-Income Countries   

Wednesday October 18th 2017
OCP Paris - 19 rue Hamelin, 75116 Paris
   

The Center for Growth & Business Cycle Research at the University of Manchester, along with the Foundation for Studies an Research on International Development (FERDI) and the OCP Policy Center, are co-organizing a high-level conference on Macro-Prudential Regulation in Sub-Saharan Africa, taking place on Wednesday October 18th 2017 in Paris, France.

The conference will be an opportunity for the contributions of the ESRC-DFID project to be presented and discussed. The project in question was focused on the theoretical and empirical study of interactions between financial volatility, prudential regulation, and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa.

Under the supervision of Professor Pierre Richard Agenor, Senior Fellow at the OCP Policy Center, the project was launched on September 2014 with the goal of answering, among others, the following essential questions, how can financial volatility affect growth in the long-run? And what macro-prudential initiatives negatively affect growth in the long-run due to the risk-taking nature of such regulations?

To answer these questions, experts and officials from renowned organizations such as (but not limited to) the IMF, the World Bank, and the OCDE will take part in the conference and engage in a lively discussion on the learnings and results of the project.

 Publications on the issue : 

  • Agénor, P-R. "Des promesses et encore des promesses : la volatilité de l'aide et la croissance économique" Ferdi Note brève B148, mai 2016 (also in english : Promises, Promises: Aid Volatility and Economic Growth)
  • Agénor, P-R. (2016) "Comprendre les liens entre règlementation macroprudentielle, stabilité financière et croissance" Ferdi Note brève B147, mai 2016. (also in English : Understanding the links between Macroprudential Regulation, Financial Stability, and Growth)
  • Agénor, P-R "Growth and Welfare Effects of Macroprudential Regulation", CGBCR Discussion Paper Number 218, February 2016 | Download the presentation slides | Policy brief
  • Agénor, P-R "Aid Volatility, Human Capital, and Growth", CGBCR Discussion Paper Number 219, May 2016 | Download the presentation slides | Policy brief
  • Chauvet, L., Ferry, M., Guillaumont, P., Guillaumont Jeanneney, S. , Tapsoba, S. J-A., and Wagner, L. (2016) "Volatility Widens Inequality. Could Aid and Remittances Help?" Ferdi Working paper  P158, juillet 2016 (revised version : April 2017)
  • Chauvet, L., Ferry, M., Guillaumont, P., Guillaumont Jeanneney, S., Tapsoba, S. J.-A. et Wagner, L.Economic Volatility and Inequality: Do Aid and Remittances Matter? Ferdi Note brève B152, juillet 2016
  • Combes, L-L., Kinda, T., Ouedraogo, R., Plane, P. (2016) "Does It Always Pour When it Rains? Capital Flows and Economic Growth in Developing Countries" Ferdi Document de travail P157, juillet 2016
  • Combes, J-L., Haidara,A., Kinda, T., Ouedraogo, R., Plane, P. et Samba, O. (2016) "Les flux de capitaux internationaux affectent-ils  la croissance économique des pays en développement ?", Ferdi Note brève B151, juillet 2016
  • Guérineau, S., Goujon, M., et Sawadogo, R. (2016) Les politiques macroprudentielles dans l’UEMOA, Rapport Ferdi (in English : Macroprudential policies in the WAEMU)
  • Guérineau, S. et Léon, F. (2016) "Information sharing, credit booms, and financial stability", Ferdi Document de travail P159, juillet 2016
  • Guérineau, S. and Léon, F. (2016) "Information sharing, credit booms, and financial stability: lessons for developing economies", Ferdi Policy brief B153, July 2016
  • Neanidis, K.C. "Volatilité des flux de capitaux et croissance économique : le rôle de la réglementation macroprudentielle", Ferdi Note brève B146, avril 2016 (also in english : "Volatile Capital Flows and Economic Growth: The Role of Macro-prudential Regulation (Summary column)"
  • Neanidis , K.C. "Volatile Capital Flows and Economic Growth: The Role of Macro-Prudential Regulation", CGBCR Discussion Paper Number 215, November 2015 | Download the presentation slides | Policy brief
Programme

9:00 - 9:15 / Welcoming address

  • Karim El Aynaoui (OCP Policy Center),
  • Pr. Pierre-Richard Agénor (Manchester) and Pr. Patrick Guillaumont (FERDI)  

9:15 - 9:30 / Opening

  • Luiz Pereira da Silva (Banque des règlements internationaux)
  •  

9:30 - 10:15 / Session 1: Macroprudential regulation, financial stability and growth: What is at stake?

  • Pr. Pierre-Richard Agénor (Manchester)
  •  

10:15 - 11:00 / Session 2: Capital flows, volatility and growth in developing countries

  • Dr. Patrick Plane (CNRS-CERDI)
  •  

11:20 - 12:05 / Session 3: Volatile capital flows and economic growth: The role of macro-prudential regulation

  • Dr. Neanidis (Manchester)
  •  

12:05-14:00 Lunch   14:00 - 14:45 / Session 4 : Information sharing, credit booms, and financial stability

  • Dr. Florian Léon (University of Luxembourg)
  •  

14:45 - 15:30 / Session 5 : Macroprudential policies in the WAEMU: State-of-Art and suggestions

  • Dr. Samuel Guérineau (CERDI)
  •  

15:50 - 17:30 / Round table : Lessons for macroprudential regulation in Sub-Saharan Africa Diane Coyle (Manchester), Pr. Patrick Guillaumont (FERDI), Ousmane Samba Mamadou (BCEAO) (tbc), Bruno Cabrillac (Banque de France), Karim El Aynaoui (OCP Policy Center). 

Closing session: Pr. Pierre-Richard Agénor (Manchester)


Les partenaires, conférence "Mouvements de capitaux, régulation macroprudentielle et stabilité financière dans les pays à faible revenu", 18 octobre 2017 –