Do elections shape firm dynamics?

This paper examines the impact of elections on firm dynamics. We investigate how electoral cycles affect the total number of firms, firm entries, and firm exits using a comprehensive dataset covering 132 countries from 2006 to 2022. Our findings indicate that elections do not significantly impact the total number of firms or firm creation. However, we document a reduction in firm exits during election years and the subsequent post-election period, particularly in democratic countries. This suggests that incumbent governments may engage in economic manipulation to stabilize economic conditions and minimize business closures around elections. The absence of a corresponding increase in firm entries highlights the asymmetric political incentives favoring short-term economic stability over long-term entrepreneurial activity.
Citation

Léon F., Weill L. (2026) "Do elections shape firm dynamics?", Economic Systems, Vol. 50(2). 

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